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A February 10-13 SocialSphere survey for Colby College (my alma mater) about the Maine Senate race certainly generated plenty of buzz on Tuesday. My own reaction was less than enthusiastic.

I tweeted that “The ballot test is not consistent with other (unreleased) numbers, and it conveys a misimpression of where the race stands. [Susan] Collins has lost support over the last couple of years, and she is vulnerable now. But [Sara] Gideon has a lot of work to do.”

Having written about polls for the past 40 years, I know that survey results spread faster than the Coronavirus, and the…

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