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Your view of the past has a profound impact on your predictions for the future, particularly when it comes to the fight for the House majority. 

Democrats view the 2018 election results as a trend, particularly in the suburbs. They believe seats that the party narrowly lost last cycle are now firmly within reach next year. On the other hand, Republicans view 2018 as an aberration or Democratic peak. It’s their belief that if Democrats couldn’t win those competitive seats in a midterm year with a polarizing GOP president in the White House, then they aren’t going to win them…

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