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This cycle, the wave analogy has been watered down and it’s time for a new metaphor: fire. More specifically, fires. 

Whether it’s GOP Members in Hillary Clinton districts, extraordinary Democratic challengers and fundraising, competitive open seats, or lazy incumbents, Republicans have dozens of fires around the country, and the party might not have enough resources to put them all out. GOP outside groups can’t spend at the same level this fall that was required in the special elections.

House Republicans are defending far more vulnerable seats than Democrats, 76 to 10. And, unlike the Senate, Democrats don’t need to win…

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